Criciúma vs Naçao Esportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.2%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
9.6%
2.1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRI
9%
21%
70%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 0
HER
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 2
CRI
12%
23%
65%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CRI
4 - 1
FFL
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
CRI
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
NES
1 - 0
BRU
8%
17%
76%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAC
3 - 2
NES
65%
21%
15%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
NES
0 - 4
BAR
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NES
3 - 0
INT
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |