Criciúma vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 1
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
CRI
68%
22%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 2
SPO
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MET
0 - 2
GUA
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 1
MET
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
TOM
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |