Criciúma vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
NAU
3 - 2
CRI
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CRI
1 - 2
JEC
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 2
NAU
26%
24%
51%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
CRI
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 3
AVA
31%
24%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
NOR
60%
21%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
POR
4 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 2
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 2
OES
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |