Criciúma vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
CRI
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FFL
1 - 0
CRI
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 2
MET
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
19%
24%
57%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 4
AVA
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
INT
2 - 1
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
HER
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
JEC
1 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |