Criciúma vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FFL
3 - 2
CRI
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
JEC
62%
21%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
MET
3 - 3
CRI
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
IMB
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 0
BRU
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
AVA
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
BRU
1 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 0
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | -1 |