Criciúma vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRI
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
CRI
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
CRI
8 - 0
JUV
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 0
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
60%
21%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
3 - 0
AVA
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
JEC
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
2 - 2
CAM
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
JEC
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
35%
24%
41%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |