Criciúma vs CFZ Imbituba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
3 - 0
BRU
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 3
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
0 - 1
CRI
23%
23%
55%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 1
CRI
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
71%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
IMB
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 0
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
IMB
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 1
IMB
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |