Criciúma vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CRI
2 - 2
BRU
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ECS
2 - 0
CRI
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CRI
4 - 4
YPI
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CRI
0 - 2
ITU
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
VOL
0 - 0
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
HER
0 - 2
ECP
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
ECP
0 - 0
HER
32%
24%
43%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 2
HER
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |