Criciúma vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 5
CRI
17%
24%
60%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 2
CRI
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
INT
3 - 0
CRI
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CRI
2 - 1
JEC
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRI
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
MET
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
FFL
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
6%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
JEC
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |