Criciúma vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
CRI
68%
22%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 2
SPO
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 1
BAH
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
0 - 3
GRE
27%
29%
44%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
INT
0 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
53%
23%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |