Criciúma vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
VIT
3 - 1
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
PPE
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
POR
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
CRI
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CRI
5 - 2
ICA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 3
ABC
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
GRÊ
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
PAR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
GRÊ
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 2
GRÊ
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |