Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-4
Criciúma vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
3 - 2
CRI
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
5 - 4
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 3
SCI
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 2
ALT
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
FLA
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
SIN
1 - 3
FLU
7%
17%
76%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
2%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 0
VOL
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 5
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |