Criciúma vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRI
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 1
CRI
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
CRI
0 - 4
SAO
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRI
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 2
CRZ
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 1
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 3
FLU
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2004 |
FLU
3 - 1
SCI
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |