Criciúma vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
CRI
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 0
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COT
1 - 2
CRI
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 0
BRU
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 1
FFL
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ASA
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
OES
2 - 2
FFL
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2013 |
FFL
2 - 0
ABC
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |