Criciúma vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRI
54%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
CRI
2 - 1
SCI
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRI
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FFL
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FFL
3 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
CRZ
3 - 3
FFL
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 1
PPE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |