Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 0-3
Criciúma vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
CRI
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 4
CRI
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
CRI
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 1
JUV
44%
28%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CRI
1 - 1
BRU
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
BRA
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
CRI
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAH
1 - 0
GRE
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |