Criciúma vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 1
CRI
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
GRE
15%
26%
59%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRB
0 - 0
CRI
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 1
NES
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NES
1 - 2
CRI
11%
18%
71%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAH
3 - 1
TOM
69%
21%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
BAH
29%
29%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
BAH
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
ITU
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |