Criciúma vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
56.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
CRI
2 - 1
CRB
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 0
CRI
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
CRI
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 0
BOA
62%
24%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 0
BOT
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
RIO
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SCI
2 - 0
CRZ
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CRZ
3 - 0
JEC
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CRZ
3 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |