Criciúma vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRI
81%
14%
5%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 1
CRI
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 1
VIL
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRI
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 0
GUA
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
COT
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
COT
2 - 3
PAR
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
AMF
1 - 1
COT
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
COT
2 - 1
CUI
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
CRB
1 - 0
COT
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |