Criciúma vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
CRI
24%
25%
52%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CRI
1 - 1
HER
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CRI
2 - 2
BRU
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ECS
2 - 0
CRI
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CRI
4 - 4
YPI
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 1
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
CAC
0 - 2
CHA
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
CON
61%
25%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 0
CHA
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 0
PPE
50%
29%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |