Criciúma vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MET
2 - 2
CRI
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
TUB
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LIT
1 - 3
CRI
11%
17%
72%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
FFL
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
JEC
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MET
1 - 3
CHA
10%
20%
70%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 2
CHA
26%
26%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |