Criciúma vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRI
60%
21%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 3
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 2
CRI
18%
20%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
CRI
27%
24%
50%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CRI
2 - 0
FFL
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
39%
25%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
JEC
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
5 - 2
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |