Criciúma vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRI
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
PAR
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
CRI
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
CRI
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 1
LUV
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 1
LUV
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 1
OES
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CEA
47%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
2 - 2
BAH
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SAM
1 - 0
CEA
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |