Catarinense 1 Final
Global 2-0
Criciúma vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
CRI
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRI
2 - 0
HER
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 0
AVA
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
COT
1 - 1
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
BRU
3 - 1
BAR
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
BRU
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 0
CAC
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
BRU
23%
27%
51%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
CSA
1 - 0
BRU
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |