Criciúma vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
CRI
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 0
SAO
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 1
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 0
BRU
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRU
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
BRU
0 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
BRU
3 - 1
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
BRU
2 - 0
TUB
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |