Criciúma vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
JUV
1 - 1
CRI
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
FFL
5 - 0
CRI
75%
16%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRI
3 - 2
IMB
75%
15%
9%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BRU
2 - 0
CRI
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRI
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAX
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
RIO
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
BRA
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 1
GEB
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
GUA
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |