Criciúma vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 0
CRI
18%
22%
61%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 1
CRI
18%
21%
61%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 1
CHA
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CRI
3 - 1
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
FFL
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
3 - 2
AVA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
6%
15%
79%
|
73 | 44 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
BRA
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |