Criciúma vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 1
CRZ
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
CRI
2 - 1
CRB
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PAY
1 - 0
CRI
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
OES
1 - 1
CRI
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
CRI
3 - 0
BOA
62%
24%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 2
GRE
28%
30%
42%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
AVA
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 0
PPE
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FLU
3 - 1
AVA
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |