Criciúma vs Altos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 1
LIT
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRI
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
CRI
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
4 - 2
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
CRI
14%
18%
68%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Altos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
4DE
1 - 2
ALT
16%
20%
64%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 0
BAH
10%
17%
74%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 0
CRB
10%
15%
75%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 1
FOR
11%
17%
73%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 3
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |