Criacao Shinjuku vs Verspah Oita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
11º
11º
39
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 44 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
44% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criacao Shinjuku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRS
4 - 1
HON
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CRS
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
KUS
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MIO
2 - 0
CRS
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CRS
0 - 1
SON
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Verspah Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
1 - 1
TIA
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VEK
1 - 2
VER
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
REA
0 - 1
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
OSV
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
URA
2 - 0
VER
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |