Crewe Alexandra vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
4 - 2
CRE
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 0
GIL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WRE
3 - 3
CRE
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 2
CRE
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 1
WRE
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
WRE
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
WRE
3 - 3
CRE
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
STO
5 - 0
WRE
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WRE
3 - 0
GRI
62%
21%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |