Crewe Alexandra vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 2
CHE
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 2
SOU
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRE
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
STF
0 - 1
CRE
62%
23%
16%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRE
1 - 3
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
WIG
0 - 0
WAL
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
WIG
2 - 2
MIL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
OLD
1 - 1
WIG
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WIG
2 - 1
FLE
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
WIG
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |