Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
CRE
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 3
BRE
23%
27%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 3
CRE
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CRE
3 - 0
SHE
31%
28%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
SWI
1 - 1
CRA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LEY
2 - 0
SWI
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 0
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
POR
2 - 3
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
POS
2 - 2
SWI
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |