Crewe Alexandra vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
CRE
2 - 1
IPS
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 1
CRE
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
BIR
5 - 1
CRE
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
CRE
1 - 1
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
CRE
1 - 0
HAR
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SWI
0 - 0
NTT
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
GRI
1 - 0
SWI
52%
26%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
SWI
1 - 2
WBA
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
LEY
1 - 1
SWI
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CRY
1 - 2
SWI
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |