Crewe Alexandra vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 1
LIN
16%
24%
60%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
CRE
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 0
CRE
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 2
OLD
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
CAM
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
STE
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STE
1 - 3
MAN
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 1
STE
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
STE
0 - 1
LIN
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
STE
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |