Crewe Alexandra vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2006 |
SHE
0 - 0
CRE
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 1
BHA
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 2
IPS
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
WOL
1 - 1
CRE
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
CRE
3 - 4
REA
21%
27%
52%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 1
COV
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 0
SHW
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
NEW
1 - 0
SOU
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
SOU
0 - 0
PNE
47%
25%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
REA
2 - 0
SOU
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |