Crewe Alexandra vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 2
CRE
30%
24%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
KID
1 - 2
CRE
11%
19%
70%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
CRE
17%
22%
60%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
CON
1 - 3
CRE
12%
18%
70%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CRE
0 - 1
BRA
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 2
POR
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
BOL
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
POR
2 - 2
GET
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
NOT
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
FLE
56%
23%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |