Crewe Alexandra vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRE
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
POS
4 - 2
CRE
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CRE
1 - 1
SWI
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
CRE
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
OLD
0 - 2
ROT
29%
26%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 3
PNE
36%
29%
36%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 2
OLD
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 2
MKD
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 0
GIL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |