Crewe Alexandra vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MKD
1 - 0
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 1
LEY
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
CUM
0 - 0
CRE
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CRE
0 - 0
TRA
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
OLD
0 - 1
COV
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
OLD
63%
22%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 1
SCU
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 2
NOT
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
OLD
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |