Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 0
CRE
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 3
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 2
CRE
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
CRE
6 - 1
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
CRE
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NOT
2 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
STE
0 - 3
NOT
57%
21%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 1
EXE
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NOT
0 - 0
MOR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 3
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |