Crewe Alexandra vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRE
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CRE
2 - 0
ROT
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
NTT
2 - 2
CRE
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
BIR
3 - 1
CRE
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CRE
0 - 0
CRY
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
NOT
1 - 1
WYC
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
NOT
2 - 1
HUR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
NOT
1 - 0
BPO
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
QPR
3 - 2
NOT
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |