Crewe Alexandra vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRE
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
CRE
0 - 1
CUM
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
CRE
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
LEY
0 - 1
CRE
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CRE
2 - 2
SWA
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2008 |
NTT
0 - 1
CUM
58%
25%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
LEY
0 - 1
NTT
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NTT
1 - 0
SWI
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
NTT
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NTT
2 - 0
MIL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |