Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 2
EXE
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
OLD
1 - 1
CRE
53%
23%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 1
CUM
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 3
CRE
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 1
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STE
1 - 2
NOR
42%
25%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRA
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
NOR
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 2
NOR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 4
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |