Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
CRE
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
1 - 0
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CRE
2 - 0
SWI
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
GIL
3 - 4
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
CRE
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 0
PLY
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
NOR
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
DAG
0 - 1
NOR
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 1
ALD
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +2 |