Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
CRE
4 - 2
MIL
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
LEE
1 - 0
CRE
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 1
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CRY
2 - 2
CRE
69%
20%
12%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
CRE
2 - 0
SHW
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 1
NOR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 0
CHE
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
OXF
1 - 3
NOR
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 0
STO
58%
23%
18%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
DAR
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |