Crewe Alexandra vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
OLD
1 - 3
CRE
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
CRE
1 - 0
HUR
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2003 |
CRE
2 - 2
BOU
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
CRE
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
BOU
0 - 0
CRE
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
POS
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
BPO
2 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 5
WYC
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
POS
0 - 0
NOR
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |