Crewe Alexandra vs Newcastle U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
DER
1 - 3
CRE
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CRE
1 - 0
NOT
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CRE
2 - 2
DER
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TOW
0 - 1
CRE
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
CRE
0 - 2
STO
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NWC
1 - 0
EVE
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
NWC
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
NWC
1 - 1
NOT
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BHA
1 - 1
NWC
75%
16%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
WRE
1 - 0
NWC
86%
9%
5%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |