Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 1
BPO
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 3
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
CRE
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 1
CHE
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 2
CRE
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 3
FLE
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 2
MOR
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 3
MOR
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
BAM
1 - 2
MOR
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
COV
0 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |