Crewe Alexandra vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 5
CRE
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 0
CRE
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
CRA
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 1
CRE
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 0
HER
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 2
BUR
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 2
STA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SWI
3 - 0
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 0
OXF
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
STF
2 - 0
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |