Crewe Alexandra vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
65.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CRE
1 - 2
BPO
68%
19%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 1
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
CRE
4 - 3
GIL
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CRE
5 - 1
CUM
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
SWA
2 - 1
CRE
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MUD
2 - 0
LIV
57%
23%
19%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
MUD
3 - 0
FCK
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WIG
1 - 3
MUD
13%
22%
65%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MUD
2 - 0
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
SLB
0 - 1
MUD
20%
25%
54%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |